Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.065204 0.073565 0.082110 0.091466 0.101391 0.111579 0.122800
2025-08-10 0.051620 0.063950 0.077167 0.092254 0.108866 0.126485 0.146470
2025-08-17 0.042337 0.056969 0.073307 0.092585 0.114420 0.138130 0.165578
2025-08-24 0.033730 0.049401 0.067620 0.089796 0.115555 0.144097 0.177706
2025-08-31 0.027209 0.043406 0.062990 0.087522 0.116659 0.149508 0.188740
2025-09-07 0.023422 0.040295 0.061395 0.088449 0.121149 0.158508 0.203600
2025-09-14 0.020630 0.038118 0.060670 0.090188 0.126401 0.168233 0.219166
2025-09-21 0.019036 0.037354 0.061582 0.093812 0.133813 0.180411 0.237516
2025-09-28 0.016723 0.035303 0.060624 0.094941 0.138083 0.188805 0.251403
2025-10-05 0.016939 0.036945 0.064568 0.102300 0.149991 0.206275 0.275939
2025-10-12 0.014361 0.034089 0.062244 0.101461 0.151679 0.211486 0.286019
2025-10-19 0.013044 0.033047 0.062311 0.103647 0.157068 0.221093 0.301259
2025-10-26 0.011050 0.030785 0.060682 0.103727 0.160041 0.228098 0.313837
2025-11-02 0.009637 0.029342 0.060150 0.105248 0.164865 0.237415 0.329278
2025-11-09 0.008139 0.027517 0.058916 0.105718 0.168277 0.244967 0.342585
2025-11-16 0.006119 0.024295 0.055317 0.102731 0.167062 0.246692 0.348757
2025-11-23 0.004538 0.021561 0.052233 0.100281 0.166408 0.249007 0.355558
2025-11-30 0.003767 0.020437 0.051625 0.101282 0.170253 0.256902 0.369128
2025-12-07 0.003224 0.019734 0.051650 0.103157 0.175239 0.266218 0.384435
2025-12-14 0.003015 0.019865 0.053065 0.107063 0.182951 0.278986 0.403995
2025-12-21 0.002489 0.018982 0.052681 0.108278 0.187019 0.287134 0.417879
2025-12-28 0.002806 0.020645 0.056779 0.116191 0.200182 0.306855 0.446058
2026-01-04 0.002097 0.019016 0.055005 0.115290 0.201363 0.311337 0.455438